Saturday 1 March 2014

2014 Oscar Predictions



With the Oscars happening tomorrow night, I figured I would throw down some predictions as to who I think will be taking home the awards tomorrow night. I'll put down who will probably win, and who I think should win, with who will win in bold and who I think should win in italics. At least I'll do that for the major categories; personally, I have no stake in Best Costume Design. All I know is The Lone Ranger should win nothing, and burn in eternal damnation.


Best Picture


And the nominees are...

American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
12 Years A Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Thoughts: 

I have been on the 12 Years A Slave bandwagon ever since I first saw it, and to me, out of these categories it should win Best Picture. I know a lot of people will make a case for Gravity or American Hustle, because Oscar voters loved those, and 12 Years A Slave is very hard to watch. I'm still holding out hope that it does win, but we've seen the best movies not win at the Oscars time and time again, so I wouldn't be surprised by anything. If this doesn't win, look for Gravity to be the winner.


Best Actor


And the nominees are...

Christian Bale (American Hustle)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years A Slave)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Thoughts:

There is a chance that McConaughey doesn't win this, but given that the only awards he hasn't won for his performance as Ron Woodrof are awards he wasn't nominated for, I can't see him losing at the Oscars. Personally, while I think I've made it abundantly clear I LOVE McConaughey and I relish living in this McConaughey-day, I would like to see the award to go Ejiofor or DiCaprio. I love how people think DiCaprio not winning yet is a drought of epic proportions. Amy Adams has yet to win in 5 nominations, Gary Oldman has one nomination to his credit in a career spanning over 30 years, and Peter O'Toole never won in his 54 year career, despite 8 nominations to his name.


Best Actress


And the nominees are...

Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)

Thoughts:

Cate Blanchett has won every award for this film, and I don't see that ending. She gives the best female performance of the year, and she'll be rewarded. Just for the sake of conversation though, I wouldn't mind seeing either Amy Adams or Judi Dench take home the award. They are both so lovely.


Best Supporting Actor


And the nominees are...

Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years A Slave)
Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Thoughts:

Jared Leto is going to win, and rightfully so. He's brilliant in Dallas Buyers Club. Not much else to say about that. I wouldn't mind seeing Michael Fassbender or, even, Jonah Hill take it home though. But that won't happen.


Best Supporting Actress


And the nominees are...

Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years A Slave)
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
June Squibb (Nebraska)

Thoughts:

I'm almost certain that Nyong'o is going to win, after winning the Screen Actors Guild award and the Independent Spirit Award earlier today. I was somewhat shocked at her losing the BAFTA, but the Golden Globe is a joke, so we forget that. There's an outside chance that Jennifer Lawrence wins, but I can't see the Academy rewarding her two years straight for similar performances. Then again, look at Christoph Waltz. I want June Squibb to win purely for the fact that she's had a great career, so give it to her.


Best Director


And the nominees are...

Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
Alexander Payne (Nebraska)
David O. Russell (American Hustle)
Steve McQueen (12 Years A Slave)
Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street)

Thoughts:

Cuaron is going to win here, because he's won everything else so far. Gravity is an expertly made movie, and I don't doubt that's in so no part due to him. I'd love to see Scorsese get another one, but that won't happen, and McQueen is the only other major threat here. But Cuaron is well liked and that goes a long way. If he doesn't win, by some divine intervention, look for McQueen to be holding the statue.


Best Adapted Screenplay

And the nominees are...

Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope (Philomena)
Richard Linklater, Ethan Hawke and Julie Delpy (Before Midnight)
Billy Ray (Captain Phillips)
John Ridley (12 Years A Slave)
Terrence Winter (The Wolf of Wall Street)

Best Original Screenplay

And the nominees are...

Erin Warner Singer and David O. Russell (American Hustle)
Woody Allen (Blue Jasmine)
Craig Borten and Melisa Wallack (Dallas Buyers Club)
Spike Jonze (Her)
Bob Nelson (Nebraska)

Best Animated Feature Film

And the nominees are...

The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
The Wind Rises

Best Documentary (Feature)

And the nominees are...

The Act of Killing
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square
20 Feet From Stardom

Best Foreign Language Film

And the nominees are...

The Broken Circle Breakdown
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
The Missing Picture
Omar

Best Cinematography

And the nominees are...

Philippe Le Sourd (The Grandmaster)
Emmanuel Lubezki (Gravity)
Bruno Delbonnel (Inside Llewyn Davis)
Phedon Papamichael (Nebraska)
Roger Deakins (Prisoners)

Best Film Editing

And the nominees are...

American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
12 Years A Slave

Best Original Score

And the nominees are...

William Butler and Owen Pallett (Her)
Alexandre Desplat (Philomena)
Thomas Newman (Saving Mr. Banks)
Steven Price (Gravity)
John Williams (The Book Thief)

Best Original Song

And the nominees are...

Happy from Despicable Me 2
Let It Go from Frozen
The Moon Song from Her
Ordinary Love from Mandela: A Long Walk to Freedom

Best Sound Mixing

And the nominees are...

Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor
Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Sound Editing

And the nominees are...

All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

Best Production Design

And the nominees are...

American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
Her
12 Years A Slave

Best Visual Effects

And the nominees are...

Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

Best Costume Design

And the nominees are...

American Hustle
The Grandmaster
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
12 Years A Slave

Best Make Up and Hairstyling

And the nominees are...

Dallas Buyers Club
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger

Best Documentary Short Subject

And the nominees are...

CaveDiger
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall

Best Short Film (Animated)

And the nominees are...

Feral
Get A Horse!
Mr. Hublot
Possessions
Room on the Broom

Best Short Film (Live Action)

And the nominees are...

Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn't Me)
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything)
Helium
Pitaako Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have To Take Care of Everything?)
The Voorman Problem


And there we go. A full list of all the nominees and my predicted winners. If you made it all the way to the end, congratulations, you're as alone as I am. So let's see how this plays out tomorrow. Later kids!

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